真相集中营

The Guardian-China announces new measures to arrest housing slump and boost growth

September 26, 2024   3 min   570 words

西方媒体的这篇报道主要聚焦在中国政府最近宣布的措施,以提振房地产市场和促进经济增长。报道提到中国房地产市场供过于求导致许多城市房价下跌,家庭资产出现负增长。中国政府承诺增加对最贫困人口的福利支出,并授权地方政府干预房地产市场,购买空置房产。同时,中国政府也承认仅靠央行的刺激投资措施可能不足以实现今年5的经济增长目标。 评论:这篇报道虽然提到中国经济面临的问题,但总体上仍带有西方媒体常见的偏见。其一,报道没有全面分析供过于求的原因,而是简单地将其归咎于中国政府的政策;其二,报道没有提到中国政府此前成功刺激经济增长的举措,例如在2008年全球金融危机后的表现;其三,报道没有提到中国政府一直以来对房地产市场的监管和调控,而是简单地将其描述为“缺乏协调的措施”。此外,报道还忽略了中国经济的强劲韧性巨大潜力和中国政府维护经济稳定发展的决心。尽管存在偏见,但这篇报道也提醒了中国政府维护经济稳定发展任务的艰巨性,以及政策执行过程中可能面临的挑战。

2024-09-26T11:44:41Z
Property under construction in Nanjing

Chinese leaders have vowed to arrest a slump in the housing market and boost growth after conceding that measures by the central bank to stimulate investment this week were likely to prove inadequate.

Promising to deploy “necessary spending” by the state to meet this year’s economic growth target of 5%, China’s politburo said it would increase benefits for the poorest and give local authorities the cash and power to intervene to prevent further falls in house price values.

Households with two or more children will be offered 800 yuan (£85) a month per child, excluding the first child, Reuters reported. Local authorities will have the backing of up to £213bn in extra borrowing by the state, allowing them to intervene in real estate markets, including buying empty properties.

China’s economic growth had been supported by a surge in residential housing developments and rising property values that underpinned consumer spending. An oversupply of homes in recent years has caused prices to tumble in many cities, pushing households into negative equity.

Some of the biggest property developers in the world’s second-largest economy have either gone bust or been weighed down by huge debts.

The planned intervention, which came after a monthly meeting of top Communist party officials, marks a reversal of previous piecemeal policies and an admission by China’s president, Xi Jinping, that the ailing economy needed a more coordinated programme of measures backed by a larger package of subsidies.

“New situations and problems” demanded a sense of “responsibility and urgency”, state media reported, citing the politburo meeting.

A wide range of economic data in recent months has fallen short of official forecasts, raising concerns that the growth target was at risk and that a reliance on a combination of rising domestic property values and exports was holding back growth. The 5% growth target is relatively modest by historical standards.

China’s central bank cut interest rates and eased local bank lending rules this week in its boldest intervention to boost the economy since the pandemic.

The People’s Bank of China cut interest rates on existing mortgages by 0.5 percentage points and supported new lending by reducing the level of reserves banks must set aside before making loans.

After the politburo announcement, Chinese property shares jumped by more than 8% and for companies registered in Hong Kong, their values jumped by 9%. The yuan and Chinese bond yields also rose.

The politburo said the government should “promote the stabilisation of the real estate market” by expanding a list of approved housing projects that could receive further financing and revitalise idle land, according to official news agency reports.

Officials “will respond to people’s concerns, adjust home purchase restriction policies, lower existing mortgage rates and improve land, fiscal, tax and financial policies as soon as possible to push forward the new model of property development”, it said.

Bruce Pang, the chief China economist at Jones Lang LaSalle, said the politburo’s endorsement of a further stimulus “represents a strategic shift in macro policy, from piecemeal policies to a highly orchestrated package in the right direction”.

He added: “A pickup in government spending will probably be sufficient to drive a turnaround in business confidence, market sentiment and economic activities, helping China to catch up with potential trend growth.”

Xi is understood to have faced criticism from economic advisers, including from Zhu Hengpeng, a member of a government-funded thinktank, who has reportedly disappeared.