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The Washington Post-Why the Solomon Islands election matters to China and the US

May 2, 2024   7 min   1406 words

【华盛顿邮报】所罗门群岛大选,中美两国谁将胜出? 《华盛顿邮报》发表文章,关注近期所罗门群岛大选。所罗门群岛一向是太平洋地区亲华友中的国家,本次外长马内莱当选总理,预计将进一步加强与中国的联系。这一选举受到美国及其盟友的密切关注,因为中国正不断扩大在该地区的影响力,与美国和澳大利亚争夺主导权,并签署了可能有助于其太平洋军事目标的安全协议。 评论:这篇报道体现了西方媒体一贯的陈词滥调,试图渲染中国与西方阵营的竞争,并带有明显偏见。报道中,作者先是强调所罗门群岛“亲华”,接着指出该选举将“加深与中国的联系”,并强调中国在该地区的“军事野心”。但实际上,所罗门群岛作为独立主权国家,有权自主选择合作伙伴,加强与中国的关系是所罗门群岛基于自身利益作出的选择,不应被贴上“亲华”标签。此外,报道中关于中国“军事野心”的指控毫无根据,中国一直致力于和平发展,从未在包括所罗门群岛在内的南太平洋地区寻求军事基地。该报道罔顾事实,渲染中国威胁,暴露了西方媒体的偏见与焦虑心理。

2024-04-17T05:50:52.091Z

Jeremiah Manele, left, then the Solomon Islands' Foreign Minister, shakes hands with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi a ceremony to mark the establishment of diplomatic relations between the Solomon Islands and China in Beijing on Sept. 21, 2019. (Mark Schiefelbein/AP)

The Solomon Islands, the Pacific country most friendly to Beijing, looks set to deepen its strong ties with China following foreign minister Jeremiah Manele’s elevation to prime minister Thursday.

The election has been closely watched by Washington and its allies as Beijing extends its reach into a region traditionally dominated by the United States and Australia, forging security agreements that could further its military aims across the Pacific.

The strategically valuable Solomons archipelago — comprising hundreds of islands straddling important international shipping lanes — is at the center of great power rivalry in the Pacific as China uses loans and aid to gain influence in the often-overlooked the region.

National elections held on April 17 delivered no clear winner, triggering weeks of backroom negotiations to form a government. Lawmakers, who are not bound to political parties and can move between rival camps, cast their votes for prime minister in a secret ballot on Thursday. Manele won the ballot by 31 votes to 18, Radio New Zealand reported.

The country’s China-friendly former leader, Manasseh Sogavare, had already announced he would not seek reelection after holding onto his electorate by only the narrowest of margins.

Security was tight in the lead-up to Thursday’s decision. Local and international police stepped up controls, deploying helicopters, drones and sea patrols to survey the capital, Honiara, for any signs of unrest. Australia and other neighboring countries had sent police and defense personnel to the Solomon Islands to help maintain the peace ahead of the elections.

Members of the Solomons International Assistance Force (SIAF) stand guard at the main entrance of a vote counting center in Honiara, capital city of the Solomon Islands, on April 18, the day after the general elections. (Saeed Khan/AFP/Getty Images)

Who is Jeremiah Manele, the Solomon Islands’ new prime minister?

Manele is likely to continue pursuing close relations with China, although in a less “rabble-rousing” manner than his predecessor, said Cleo Paskal, a Pacific expert and senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies in Washington. At a recent campaign rally, Sogavare praised Chinese governance and suggested Western-style democracy leads to moral decay.

Manele served as foreign minister under Sogavare’s administration, which switched diplomatic ties from Taiwan to China in 2019, and in 2022 struck a secret security agreement with Beijing.

“He was the contact guy for engagement with China,” said Paskal. “He wouldn’t have been selected as the prime ministerial candidate for [the incumbent] party if they expected him to drift far from the path.”

The United States and its allies worry the security pact — which gives Chinese ships, including military forces, full access to the Solomons, according to a leaked copy — could lead to the establishment of a Chinese military base, although China and the Solomon Islands have denied any such plans.

Chinese navy ships regularly brush up against U.S. allies in the region. The Chinese Navy’s floating hospital ship, Peace Ark, docked in Honiara last year, ahead of a planned visit by the U.S. Navy hospital ship, Mercy.

Jeremiah Manele, seen here addressing the media in New Zealand in 2022 when he was the Solomon Islands' foreign minister, has garnered enough votes to become the Pacific nation's next prime minister. (Mark Mitchell/AP)

Manele heads up a group called the Government for National Unity and Transformation made up of lawmakers from three parties, including his Our Party.

His main rival, Matthew Wale, who leads the main opposition Democratic Party, was trying to get the numbers to form a government but failed.

Wale has argued the 2022 security deal with Beijing would affect regional security and could jeopardize relationships with traditional allies. The country’s political elite had long perceived by the people of the Solomon Islands as “compliant to Asian business interests in the granting of logging, fishing and mining concessions, Wale wrote in an article in the Guardian newspaper at the time of the deal.

Wale also opposed spending money on last year’s Pacific Games — including flashy stadiums funded by Beijing — when the country’s hospitals were in dire need of repair.

Wale had the support of Peter Kenilorea Jr, an outspoken lawmaker and the son of the country’s first prime minister, who has advocated switching ties back to Taiwan.

A man casts his vote during the Solomon Islands elections in a village on the island of San Cristobal on April 17. It was the South Pacific nation's first general election since the government switched diplomatic allegiances from Taipei to Beijing and struck a secret security pact that has raised fears of the Chinese navy gaining a foothold in the region. (Charley Piringi/AP)

Why are the election results important to the U.S. and its allies?

The United States is increasing its aid and diplomatic engagement with Pacific nations, including the Solomon Islands, as Washington fears that Beijing is outcompeting it in even the tiniest of countries.

Washington has scrambled to catch up, reopening an embassy in Honiara in January last year — 30 years after it closed it. It also opened an embassy Tonga last May. There are plans for two more in Vanuatu and Kiribati.

The 2022 security pact between the Solomon Islands and China sparked fears it could lead to the establishment of a Chinese military base in the site of some of the fiercest fighting of the Pacific campaign in World War II. Thousands of American soldiers died in the Guadalcanal campaign. The island chain lies only about 1,200 miles east of the Australia, a key U.S. ally.

China’s biggest technology company, Huawei, is building dozens of telecommunications towers in the archipelago, raising concerns it could enable Chinese surveillance. Last year, Sogavare signed a pact on police cooperation during a visit to Beijing.

Washington fears that the Solomons deal is becoming a blueprint for Chinese ambitions across the region, although other Pacific nations, notably Fiji, seem wary of the conditions attached.

The port in Honiara, the capital city of Solomon Islands. A controversial security pact with China will allow Chinese naval ships to dock at the Pacific island nation. (Saeed Khan/AFP/Getty Images)

How close are China-Solomon Islands relations?

Even before the Solomon Islands switched diplomatic ties to Beijing in 2019, Chinese businesses in the archipelago were a source of tension. Many of the stores lining Honiara’s potholed main street are owned by recent Chinese migrants. Chinese businesses have been targeted in riots as far back as 2006.

In 2021, protesters set fire to Parliament, demanding the prime minister’s resignation. The days-long riots spread across the capital, Honiara, targeting the Chinatown area and Sogavare’s home.

Sogavare’s Our Party won about 15 of the 50 seats in parliament in last month’s election — a result some experts interpreted as a backlash against China.

“If you end up with basically Sogavare-lite, a kinder, gentler-looking but pro-[China] party, the people of the Solomons, who didn’t vote for that, will not be delighted,” said Paskal. “There’s concern about potential unrest.”

In an interview with Australian Broadcasting Corp. ahead of Thursday’s leadership vote, Manele suggested the incumbent Our Party’s poor election result was a reflection of its lawmakers not meeting the needs of their own local constituencies, rather than a rejection of the party or its China policies.

Manasseh Sogavare did not stand for reelection as the Solomon Islands' prime minister. He is seen here speaking during a meeting with his Chinese counterpart Li Qiang in Beijing last year. (Pool/via REUTERS)

What has outgoing Prime Minister Sogavare said about Beijing?

Outgoing prime minister Manasseh Sogavare was openly pro-Beijing, and known for his combative relationship with the West. During a week-long visit to China last year, Sogavare said his country had “a lot to learn” from China.

In a televised address announcing his decision to stand aside, Sogavare said “geopolitics is at play” and his government had been “under pressure from the United States and western allies” after the 2019 decision to switch recognition to China. Experts expect Sogavare will continue to wield influence within the new government. “He’s a proxy. And proxies are disposable. But he still has some utility” to China, said Paskal.

In his Monday address, Sogavare repeated a phrase he often used to describe his foreign policy approach, now adopted by his successor: “friends to all and enemy to none.”